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GNFE scientific production center opens in Istanbul

An official opening of the Scientific Production Center for production ant testing of ATROPATENA earthquake forecast stations within the Global Network for the Forecasting of Earthquakes (GNFE) took place in Istanbul. By GNFE Board decision, Dr. Cavit Yatman who had been in charge of a number of major scientific research programs in the field of high-tech development in Germany and Turkey was appointed the Center’s Director.

LTR: Prof. Dr. Elchin Khalilov, President of GNFE and
Dr. Javit Yatman – Director of Scientific Production Center of GNFE.

The Scientific Production Center will be producing new ATROPATENA station modifications (Kh10 – Crystal model) developed by the Scientific Research Institute for prognosis and study of earthquakes (Baku, Azerbaijan).

It should be noted that there are two ATROPATENA stations presently functioning in Azerbaijan, in addition to one stationed in the Scientific Center for Earthquake Studies of the Pakistan National Center for Physics and another one located in the Special Province of Yogyakarta, Indonesia.

The first ATROPATENA station was installed in the Scientific Research Institute for prognosis and study of earthquakes in 2007. The Islamabad and Indonesian stations were set up in January and July of 2009, respectively.

The Global Network for the Forecasting of Earthquakes comprising ATROPATENA stations in Azerbaijan, Pakistan and Indonesia is currently producing short-term forecasts for strong earthquakes throughout the Eastern Hemisphere with 87% accuracy.

It should further be noted that the new model of ATROPATENA station is significantly different from its previous modifications (Kh-07, Kh-08, Kh-09) by not only its external appearance but also the greatly improved characteristics and extended capabilities. Virtually all of the station’s elements including the mechanical recording system, electronics and software have been modified. The main advantage of the new station is its equal sensitivity to three-dimensional gravitational variations being registered prior to strong remote earthquakes, regardless of the station’s orientation towards the focus of the imminent earthquake. Another important factor is the heightened sensitivity and increased number of registered parameters. Unlike the previous 3-channel models, the new station will be recording 5 channels. Besides, the new station’s upgraded software significantly enhances its operational stability and optimizes the station’s interaction with the central database.

As a result of using the new “Crystal” model of ATROPATENA station, the accuracy of determination of forecast parameters for strong earthquakes, including coordinates of earthquakes, time, magnitude and number of strong shocks in the first place, is expected to rise significantly.

At least one modified ATROPATENA-Crystal station is planned to be set up in Turkey in 2010.